Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 15.093238 17.099971 19.221820 21.627226 24.272925 27.088739 30.306688
2025-01-26 12.732995 15.602262 18.826174 22.695587 27.191116 32.226600 38.269549
2025-02-02 11.508457 15.106881 19.368512 24.736286 31.261207 38.878064 48.379905
2025-02-09 10.136071 14.197759 19.249463 25.898376 34.313781 44.499771 57.638230
2025-02-16 8.644584 12.902099 18.453752 26.071179 36.081171 48.604956 65.252298
2025-02-23 7.235992 11.499626 17.322091 25.636189 36.954836 51.557370 71.509913
2025-03-02 6.147515 10.376454 16.409965 25.351232 37.924157 54.600652 77.953620
2025-03-09 5.365128 9.581899 15.847007 25.450737 39.353207 58.251507 85.291708
2025-03-16 4.620624 8.735402 15.100958 25.187468 40.204641 61.102711 91.619531
2025-03-23 4.313991 8.547135 15.315004 26.328420 43.095152 66.861855 102.122640
2025-03-30 3.865324 8.055483 14.994392 26.607583 44.702902 70.845618 110.267298
2025-04-06 3.274889 7.229088 14.041397 25.803058 44.602004 72.327612 114.874068
2025-04-13 2.723839 6.404280 13.022459 24.834434 44.226227 73.447631 119.107063
2025-04-20 2.565125 6.311828 13.258039 25.948062 47.172800 79.633369 130.984725
2025-04-27 2.574679 6.558884 14.117846 28.170447 52.001162 88.847390 147.667529
2025-05-04 2.447336 6.502693 14.413545 29.429886 55.315081 95.855734 161.264738
2025-05-11 2.197870 6.145901 14.108804 29.602401 56.829533 100.117258 170.825944
2025-05-18 1.904892 5.642317 13.466020 29.108465 57.179454 102.538780 177.619724
2025-05-25 1.666959 5.224337 12.944233 28.785640 57.783036 105.358255 185.086490
2025-06-01 1.497744 4.943153 12.667876 28.892012 59.116263 109.372824 194.509893
2025-06-08 1.314611 4.592151 12.205034 28.597628 59.710628 112.180610 202.080768
2025-06-15 1.269876 4.603676 12.526563 29.861212 63.154699 119.805239 217.563123
2025-06-22 1.159197 4.412614 12.378429 30.169689 64.863303 124.571584 228.543490